{"key":"thr-blend","base":"gb:GaussianBlend soft=1 bw=1.5 qm=qm_k1e-5.json (gb.py from 4e88413335e28582aa9e96af6520c248a03c03f6944b561bdc7cf433460e2a97)","settings_tried":[{"setting":"thr=0.5","n":256,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0},{"setting":"thr=0.6","n":256,"mean_diff":0.01337,"se":0.012485},{"setting":"thr=0.7","n":256,"mean_diff":0.015258,"se":0.015804},{"setting":"thr=0.8","n":256,"mean_diff":0.031356,"se":0.018103},{"setting":"thr=0.85","n":256,"mean_diff":0.029413,"se":0.018246},{"setting":"thr=0.9","n":256,"mean_diff":0.040086,"se":0.019845},{"setting":"thr=0.95","n":256,"mean_diff":0.037497,"se":0.020012},{"setting":"thr=0.99","n":256,"mean_diff":0.022915,"se":0.021322}],"thr":0.9,"confirm_paired":{"n":256,"mean_diff":0.062078,"se":0.019125},"holdout_vs_base":{"n":2048,"mean_diff":0.06025,"se":0.00691,"sum":123.392703,"sumsq":207.595845,"worst5":[[10401,-1.663],[11221,-1.138],[10254,-1.08],[11555,-0.981],[11226,-0.945]]},"holdout_vs_gauss_qm":{"n":2048,"mean_diff":0.379537,"se":0.011143,"sum":777.290772,"sumsq":815.560173,"worst5":[[11555,-2.011],[12005,-1.877],[10146,-1.514],[11062,-1.51],[10519,-1.363]]},"holdout_vs_lattice_qm":{"n":2048,"mean_diff":-0.115364,"se":0.013707,"sum":-236.265535,"sumsq":814.916865,"worst5":[[11211,-2.821],[10695,-2.531],[10696,-2.292],[11186,-2.169],[10475,-2.135]]},"misread_rate":{"base":0.169606,"mine":0.300595},"price_error_bps":{"base":14.3373,"mine":14.298},"gas_estimate":{"extra_gas_per_call":0,"measured":false,"note":"one comparison against a constant (thr) replaces pi > 0.5 in the phase/rival branch; no new state, lookups or math"},"code_zb64":"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","code_sha256":"80456455efaff648f74559b34da7ddbb89a64e1d2db5f08f77f5f9f034069d19","notes":"Base gb:GaussianBlend soft=1 bw=1.5 qm=qm_k1e-5.json (id 4e884133...). Only the comparison that sets is_arb changes (pi > thr instead of pi > 0.5); belief update and pi^1.5 blend weight unchanged. thr=0.5 gave identical per-seed rows to the base on seeds 60000..60007. thr=0.9 had the best tuning mean on 60000..60255 (range 0.80 to 0.95 is flat, +0.03 to +0.04); confirmed once on 60256..60511, then frozen and scored once on 10000..12047 in four 512-seed runs; the base was run on the same seeds. The gain is about a fifth of the lattice's +0.323: inside 0.001<pi<0.999 the blend already quotes from both readings, so the call there only moves the persisted rival spot, phase and same-step count. Below the brief's 0.3 bar for Track A. Base on the holdout reproduces the base artifact's figure against ref/gauss_qm.json (mean_diff 0.3193, sum 653.898). vs HA (calib_out_2048.json): mine +4.148 se 0.038, base +4.088 se 0.038. misread_rate.mine counts the thresholded call (more first trades called retail), not a worse belief; price error is the RMS of the belief mean in bps over all callbacks. Gas is an estimate, not measured on the EVM."}