{"key":"s3-midsize-c","idea":"Measure frozen candidate d-s3-mid-size-up (larger desired size at the rival level at middle probabilities, spread 3) against frozen comparator N, paired by seed on seeds 431500-431999.","candidate_sha256":"1317a49c96f2085e904ffdf7e19ba0d968e30f3f0019a404586c42316602248e","comparator_sha256":"bf0d179f3e47d28819f6fa7e0d25548c2ced43374c216d36460b00a26a26ffae","seeds":{"start":431500,"end":431999},"n":500,"complete":true,"missing_seeds":[],"failures":[],"check_values":[17.116002,20.017111,2.390311,241.484752],"python_version":"3.12.3","seconds_per_simulation":0.4213,"overall":{"n":500,"sum_d":25.136268,"sum_d2":413.174572,"mean_diff":0.050273,"se":0.040632,"comparator_mean":103.651689,"candidate_mean":103.701962,"retail_diff":0.119504,"arb_diff":-0.069231},"by_spread":{"1":{"n":118,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":35.552525,"candidate_mean":35.552525,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0},"2":{"n":120,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":83.933689,"candidate_mean":83.933689,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0},"3":{"n":139,"sum_d":25.136268,"sum_d2":413.174572,"mean_diff":0.180836,"se":0.145955,"comparator_mean":119.272677,"candidate_mean":119.453514,"retail_diff":0.42987,"arb_diff":-0.249034},"4":{"n":123,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":170.566681,"candidate_mean":170.566681,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0}},"per_seed":[[431500,2,0.0],[431501,3,0.344736],[431502,4,0.0],[431503,3,0.035552],[431504,2,0.0],[431505,4,0.0],[431506,1,0.0],[431507,4,0.0],[431508,3,-0.164726],[431509,2,0.0],[431510,2,0.0],[431511,3,0.197992],[431512,1,0.0],[431513,4,0.0],[431514,2,0.0],[431515,2,0.0],[431516,1,0.0],[431517,1,0.0],[431518,4,0.0],[431519,4,0.0],[431520,3,0.183073],[431521,3,0.318073],[431522,1,0.0],[431523,4,0.0],[431524,1,0.0],[431525,4,0.0],[431526,4,0.0],[431527,3,-0.297552],[431528,3,-0.666656],[431529,3,-0.125639],[431530,2,0.0],[431531,2,0.0],[431532,3,0.480465],[431533,4,0.0],[431534,1,0.0],[431535,2,0.0],[431536,3,0.644277],[431537,3,-0.08803],[431538,2,0.0],[431539,3,0.336732],[431540,1,0.0],[431541,1,0.0],[431542,4,0.0],[431543,3,3.950032],[431544,2,0.0],[431545,1,0.0],[431546,4,0.0],[431547,1,0.0],[431548,1,0.0],[431549,3,1.487663],[431550,1,0.0],[431551,2,0.0],[431552,2,0.0],[431553,3,1.399246],[431554,4,0.0],[431555,1,0.0],[431556,3,0.393044],[431557,1,0.0],[431558,4,0.0],[431559,3,-0.204875],[431560,4,0.0],[431561,2,0.0],[431562,4,0.0],[431563,3,0.042402],[431564,3,1.081575],[431565,3,4.001795],[431566,3,0.0],[431567,3,0.258887],[431568,1,0.0],[431569,1,0.0],[431570,3,0.207512],[431571,4,0.0],[431572,3,0.097517],[431573,3,-0.05424],[431574,3,0.0],[431575,3,-0.144872],[431576,1,0.0],[431577,1,0.0],[431578,4,0.0],[431579,2,0.0],[431580,2,0.0],[431581,2,0.0],[431582,2,0.0],[431583,4,0.0],[431584,1,0.0],[431585,2,0.0],[431586,1,0.0],[431587,4,0.0],[431588,1,0.0],[431589,3,-13.290849],[431590,1,0.0],[431591,4,0.0],[431592,4,0.0],[431593,4,0.0],[431594,2,0.0],[431595,4,0.0],[431596,3,1.172335],[431597,2,0.0],[431598,4,0.0],[431599,4,0.0],[431600,2,0.0],[431601,4,0.0],[431602,3,0.003485],[431603,4,0.0],[431604,3,-0.268751],[431605,3,-0.083354],[431606,4,0.0],[431607,2,0.0],[431608,2,0.0],[431609,1,0.0],[431610,2,0.0],[431611,4,0.0],[431612,3,1.140773],[431613,4,0.0],[431614,4,0.0],[431615,3,0.370359],[431616,3,0.1849],[431617,4,0.0],[431618,1,0.0],[431619,2,0.0],[431620,2,0.0],[431621,4,0.0],[431622,2,0.0],[431623,4,0.0],[431624,4,0.0],[431625,3,1.625184],[431626,3,0.069423],[431627,3,0.0],[431628,3,0.202251],[431629,1,0.0],[431630,1,0.0],[431631,1,0.0],[431632,1,0.0],[431633,2,0.0],[431634,4,0.0],[431635,4,0.0],[431636,4,0.0],[431637,2,0.0],[431638,2,0.0],[431639,3,0.0],[431640,1,0.0],[431641,1,0.0],[431642,1,0.0],[431643,3,-0.045595],[431644,1,0.0],[431645,3,0.057686],[431646,1,0.0],[431647,3,0.804747],[431648,2,0.0],[431649,1,0.0],[431650,3,0.136562],[431651,2,0.0],[431652,4,0.0],[431653,3,2.483052],[431654,3,1.496049],[431655,4,0.0],[431656,3,0.107571],[431657,4,0.0],[431658,1,0.0],[431659,3,0.167838],[431660,3,-0.605935],[431661,1,0.0],[431662,3,0.631722],[431663,4,0.0],[431664,4,0.0],[431665,3,0.447424],[431666,1,0.0],[431667,1,0.0],[431668,3,0.948042],[431669,2,0.0],[431670,3,4.194059],[431671,2,0.0],[431672,3,0.993703],[431673,2,0.0],[431674,3,0.69856],[431675,1,0.0],[431676,3,0.36065],[431677,4,0.0],[431678,4,0.0],[431679,4,0.0],[431680,2,0.0],[431681,3,0.618397],[431682,4,0.0],[431683,4,0.0],[431684,1,0.0],[431685,4,0.0],[431686,2,0.0],[431687,3,0.643228],[431688,3,0.487485],[431689,1,0.0],[431690,3,3.991998],[431691,2,0.0],[431692,3,2.13508],[431693,2,0.0],[431694,3,1.453859],[431695,3,0.26254],[431696,1,0.0],[431697,1,0.0],[431698,3,-8.204464],[431699,3,0.184638],[431700,2,0.0],[431701,4,0.0],[431702,4,0.0],[431703,1,0.0],[431704,2,0.0],[431705,3,0.094517],[431706,4,0.0],[431707,2,0.0],[431708,4,0.0],[431709,1,0.0],[431710,4,0.0],[431711,4,0.0],[431712,4,0.0],[431713,1,0.0],[431714,4,0.0],[431715,2,0.0],[431716,2,0.0],[431717,1,0.0],[431718,2,0.0],[431719,1,0.0],[431720,3,0.0],[431721,3,-0.462514],[431722,3,1.139347],[431723,2,0.0],[431724,1,0.0],[431725,4,0.0],[431726,2,0.0],[431727,1,0.0],[431728,1,0.0],[431729,2,0.0],[431730,1,0.0],[431731,2,0.0],[431732,2,0.0],[431733,4,0.0],[431734,2,0.0],[431735,3,2.891178],[431736,3,-3.049849],[431737,3,0.88294],[431738,3,0.783441],[431739,1,0.0],[431740,4,0.0],[431741,4,0.0],[431742,4,0.0],[431743,3,1.028417],[431744,4,0.0],[431745,4,0.0],[431746,2,0.0],[431747,4,0.0],[431748,2,0.0],[431749,2,0.0],[431750,3,0.042146],[431751,4,0.0],[431752,2,0.0],[431753,2,0.0],[431754,2,0.0],[431755,3,0.648109],[431756,1,0.0],[431757,2,0.0],[431758,1,0.0],[431759,2,0.0],[431760,3,0.249809],[431761,4,0.0],[431762,3,0.346626],[431763,2,0.0],[431764,4,0.0],[431765,4,0.0],[431766,3,0.397428],[431767,1,0.0],[431768,2,0.0],[431769,2,0.0],[431770,4,0.0],[431771,2,0.0],[431772,3,0.958093],[431773,4,0.0],[431774,4,0.0],[431775,1,0.0],[431776,3,9.6e-05],[431777,3,0.014443],[431778,1,0.0],[431779,1,0.0],[431780,2,0.0],[431781,3,0.334757],[431782,2,0.0],[431783,4,0.0],[431784,1,0.0],[431785,4,0.0],[431786,2,0.0],[431787,1,0.0],[431788,4,0.0],[431789,1,0.0],[431790,2,0.0],[431791,1,0.0],[431792,4,0.0],[431793,2,0.0],[431794,1,0.0],[431795,1,0.0],[431796,1,0.0],[431797,4,0.0],[431798,1,0.0],[431799,4,0.0],[431800,2,0.0],[431801,1,0.0],[431802,3,0.26221],[431803,3,0.235585],[431804,2,0.0],[431805,3,-0.811895],[431806,2,0.0],[431807,2,0.0],[431808,4,0.0],[431809,1,0.0],[431810,1,0.0],[431811,3,0.128429],[431812,4,0.0],[431813,3,-0.41534],[431814,3,0.689338],[431815,3,-0.144175],[431816,4,0.0],[431817,1,0.0],[431818,2,0.0],[431819,3,0.315998],[431820,4,0.0],[431821,2,0.0],[431822,3,0.013434],[431823,3,0.219637],[431824,3,0.656355],[431825,3,0.0],[431826,2,0.0],[431827,2,0.0],[431828,1,0.0],[431829,2,0.0],[431830,3,1.334899],[431831,2,0.0],[431832,1,0.0],[431833,4,0.0],[431834,3,0.023838],[431835,4,0.0],[431836,3,0.496582],[431837,3,0.979101],[431838,2,0.0],[431839,3,0.0],[431840,1,0.0],[431841,1,0.0],[431842,3,-0.184409],[431843,3,0.99399],[431844,4,0.0],[431845,1,0.0],[431846,2,0.0],[431847,4,0.0],[431848,2,0.0],[431849,4,0.0],[431850,3,-0.956531],[431851,2,0.0],[431852,2,0.0],[431853,1,0.0],[431854,3,-0.082545],[431855,3,0.094125],[431856,1,0.0],[431857,1,0.0],[431858,3,-0.364791],[431859,2,0.0],[431860,1,0.0],[431861,3,9.5e-05],[431862,1,0.0],[431863,1,0.0],[431864,1,0.0],[431865,1,0.0],[431866,1,0.0],[431867,2,0.0],[431868,2,0.0],[431869,3,1.054449],[431870,1,0.0],[431871,4,0.0],[431872,4,0.0],[431873,2,0.0],[431874,1,0.0],[431875,3,0.0],[431876,2,0.0],[431877,4,0.0],[431878,3,0.274206],[431879,1,0.0],[431880,3,0.2588],[431881,1,0.0],[431882,1,0.0],[431883,4,0.0],[431884,2,0.0],[431885,2,0.0],[431886,4,0.0],[431887,4,0.0],[431888,3,0.674742],[431889,4,0.0],[431890,1,0.0],[431891,2,0.0],[431892,1,0.0],[431893,4,0.0],[431894,2,0.0],[431895,1,0.0],[431896,4,0.0],[431897,1,0.0],[431898,4,0.0],[431899,1,0.0],[431900,1,0.0],[431901,1,0.0],[431902,3,0.25293],[431903,4,0.0],[431904,1,0.0],[431905,3,-0.046821],[431906,2,0.0],[431907,3,0.76502],[431908,2,0.0],[431909,2,0.0],[431910,1,0.0],[431911,3,-0.396765],[431912,2,0.0],[431913,2,0.0],[431914,4,0.0],[431915,3,0.142069],[431916,3,0.075008],[431917,2,0.0],[431918,4,0.0],[431919,2,0.0],[431920,2,0.0],[431921,2,0.0],[431922,3,-0.668572],[431923,2,0.0],[431924,4,0.0],[431925,4,0.0],[431926,2,0.0],[431927,2,0.0],[431928,4,0.0],[431929,3,1.037863],[431930,1,0.0],[431931,4,0.0],[431932,3,0.418875],[431933,4,0.0],[431934,2,0.0],[431935,2,0.0],[431936,1,0.0],[431937,3,0.0],[431938,1,0.0],[431939,2,0.0],[431940,1,0.0],[431941,3,0.082615],[431942,1,0.0],[431943,2,0.0],[431944,1,0.0],[431945,3,0.0],[431946,3,-1.099708],[431947,3,1.043668],[431948,1,0.0],[431949,4,0.0],[431950,3,-0.705533],[431951,4,0.0],[431952,4,0.0],[431953,3,-0.201737],[431954,4,0.0],[431955,2,0.0],[431956,4,0.0],[431957,1,0.0],[431958,1,0.0],[431959,2,0.0],[431960,3,0.488859],[431961,3,0.335618],[431962,1,0.0],[431963,2,0.0],[431964,2,0.0],[431965,3,-0.144218],[431966,1,0.0],[431967,4,0.0],[431968,4,0.0],[431969,4,0.0],[431970,1,0.0],[431971,4,0.0],[431972,1,0.0],[431973,2,0.0],[431974,2,0.0],[431975,3,0.0],[431976,4,0.0],[431977,4,0.0],[431978,2,0.0],[431979,3,0.493233],[431980,1,0.0],[431981,2,0.0],[431982,4,0.0],[431983,1,0.0],[431984,3,-3.888836],[431985,4,0.0],[431986,3,0.067395],[431987,1,0.0],[431988,4,0.0],[431989,1,0.0],[431990,3,0.135269],[431991,2,0.0],[431992,2,0.0],[431993,3,-4.159115],[431994,4,0.0],[431995,1,0.0],[431996,2,0.0],[431997,4,0.0],[431998,3,-0.224595],[431999,4,0.0]],"notes":"All 500 pairs ran on Python 3.12.3 against the unmodified simulator at b244530, single process. Both code hashes were verified by script before any run, and the N check values matched. Each seed has exactly one record per strategy. The first rival quotes matched ask-bid=2s-1 on every seed. Candidate and N are identical on spreads 1, 2 and 4 (d=0 on all 361 seeds), so the whole effect is on s=3: +0.181 (se 0.146), from retail +0.430 and arb -0.249. Overall +0.050 (se 0.041), which is under 2 se, so not significant on this block."}