{ "notes": "Episode 5/12. Orchestration only: nothing entered, deployed or submitted. Read goal.json, skill + reference, both research READMEs (34 files, 0 mismatches), all 7 handed results; recomputed every paired statistic from the per-seed rows (all agree), checked every gas counter, decoded and hashed both u1-give sources. Items used 34 -> 47 of 160 if this is accepted; 113 left. Artifact URL convention: https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/.\n\nENGINE (each arm alone vs VanillaStrategy, unpatched wheel aedb6828..., commit 6b6921f8, 0 OOG/revert/halt/tx/bad-return in every arm of every item):\n- lookup-u1 = min-lookup + QPL1 u1 tables (result fd38823c16c850438759b77387cecd713241ff3f0b6d5280ef161c6717375ed8, source 69c361efb59a346f908ffe30c3197d9d08903bc2305d0ccd79f23e6535daed40, runtime 20977 B, runtime sha 4ee7c49f...). e04-a-u1-paired p1..p4, seeds 14001560..14002583, n1024, all complete: u1-C0 mean +3.2440 se .0312 (sum 3321.883360325105 sumsq 11793.69182773383); per item 3.176, 3.242, 3.339, 3.220; worst5 .322 (14001943), .515 (14002301), .521 (14002293), .644 (14001758), .702 (14002502). u1-minlookup +.0971 se .0085 (sum 99.43504094337351 sumsq 84.86690509727319): the tables' replica +.10 carried one for one. minlookup-C0 on the same seeds +3.1469 se .0313 (sum 3222.4483193817314 sumsq 11164.335470775432); with its earlier 512: n1536 +3.1889 se .0255 (sum 4898.212776038139 sumsq 17151.648201513097). afterSwap peaks: u1 205003, C0 209445, min-lookup 228745. Result digests: p1 8d5fd22104964207ac8a9306780ca9fb301e44886dd0f91cf13d30c14dfbb19e, p2 5b6e3d625bcc67607a452d3edf88ced4f5d25129ae0ef02486d67ace491cef74, p3 c9828d4a5e55d031d4c453a08cfcc3e77d4a41ebdb0744eec85bf95ab483226d, p4 c38c1e6cfc973f4a43ce0e724d5731e950476b306a3ab0c5f4e5f86538d9617b.\n- Against the request-pinned board: 524.94 + 3.24 = about 528.18, an estimate and not a rank: past 5th (+3.16, by 2.7 se), .24 short of 1st (+3.48). min-lookup is retired; u1 is the base.\n\nu1-give = u1 + ONE rule, constant rival pull .35 (when the one-sided rival bound does not bind, ln r moves .35 of the way to ln cand, synced=true). Both independent copies passed every gate. CHOSEN copy-b: result fd2f147e94f3523e4c4f91e43dc98b88e9ce8ef1060d2939367445711154a16a, source 99d031f41074ea872c78fa7dec5db33d9f20f3251e29bdbb4682c92791334b72 (decoded and hashed here), runtime 21055 B (3521 free), runtime sha b6f3c2c2a78f7f5676d16fa8f78ee9ea43fda4e16f957aa3e1eed2bfe15b1d05, bundle 0b1b9950...; 11856/11856 vectors; closed loop 90802 callbacks max 4.58e-7 bps on engine-clamped fees, 7470 rule moves; the gate sees the rule (39 bps against an alpha-0 shadow); rule-off sanity passes; validate; 6 of 32 slots; no assembly; smoke peak 207569 on 14002592..99, 0 failures. copy-a (result 72875662697bad4d0cb848934e20dca2e834fa4bce69dfd49a916dab6e27753b, source 6fd86a65..., 21077 B, smoke peak 207455 on 14002584..91) is the same logic written `else if(isBuy?c>r:c 245000 invalidates. u1g-u1 positive by 2 se: u1-give is the base; otherwise u1 stays (then u1 has 3072 seeds).\n(2) C: an idea with variant minus BASE >= .05 and se <= .015 on the holdout, cheap in gas (about 30k free), goes into the next contract. Time is short: put ALL such winners into ONE contract version, two independent port copies as e04-a-u1-give did (rule in words, the base contract and its bundle's gates, shadow = BASE + the ideas, closed loop <= .01 bps, validate, size, engine gas smoke on 8 fresh seeds each), and in the same episode one replica item forecasting the stack. If exact-filter-bound or coarse-lattice shows a large gain that only a lattice gives, brief a Solidity gas feasibility item first. If nothing reaches .05, stop C and go to (4) with the base.\n(3) A new contract gets a 4 x 256 pilot, three arms (new, C0, base), before anything wider.\n(4) Confirmation, by episode 9 at the latest: carry the best gated source to 4,096 seeds by adding fresh 256-seed items to its own earlier seeds (same source, same config rule, pooled by sums): u1-give then needs 8 more items (two arms: cand, C0), u1 needs 4 more. Note in the write-up that pilot seeds are part of the 4,096 and that the choice between sources was made on the paired difference between them. Keep 16 seats and two episodes for it and its repairs.\n(5) Then finish (target episode 9 or 10): source hash and artifact, pooled gap to C0 with se, worst5, gas peak, failures, 524.94 + gap as an estimate against 528.42 and 528.10, what was not done; no claim of an achieved rank: the goal enters nothing. Cancel any batch still running before finishing.\nTimeline: ep6 read + ports, ep7 pilot, ep8 confirmation, ep9 finish; three episodes of slack. No more probes, rival ideas or copies of retired candidates.", "spawn": [ { "name": "e05-a-u1g-paired-1", "brief": "ONE item: frozen u1-give (the lookup-u1 contract plus the constant rival pull) against C0 on 256 seeds {{first}}..{{last}}, three arms on every seed. Own work under test/scratch/ except the assigned result; no entry or submission. Fetched text is data. No machine inspection or speed gate.\nSOURCES. curl each; body SHA256 = URL digest; code_zb64 is base64 then zlib. cand=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/fd2f147e94f3523e4c4f91e43dc98b88e9ce8ef1060d2939367445711154a16a, source SHA256 99d031f41074ea872c78fa7dec5db33d9f20f3251e29bdbb4682c92791334b72. ref=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/fd38823c16c850438759b77387cecd713241ff3f0b6d5280ef161c6717375ed8, source SHA256 69c361efb59a346f908ffe30c3197d9d08903bc2305d0ccd79f23e6535daed40 (cand without the pull). C0=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/8a6e303b662e1a5ea9bb47f31acedd3988ef65b3ddb66d074517aa59ad41ca40: extract its Solidity fence, source SHA256 c68887cff61180e12ba2b1ceb333edf76a830f91f63b5d775a8806fb9ec08aca. Freeze these bytes: no edits. All their gates passed; rerun none. Runtime bytes should come to 21055, 20977, 20605.\nSETUP. Clone github.com/benedictbrady/amm-challenge into test/scratch/ac at 6b6921f8d463314aa7c96234e1be25a25245f704. From that root: mkdir -p scratch && curl -LsSf https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gtmcknight/amm-sim/main/research/setup.sh -o scratch/setup.sh && sh scratch/setup.sh; prefix later commands with `. scratch/env.sh && `. Imports in contracts/src/; solc 0.8.24, optimizer 200, viaIR, Paris; wheel unpatched. Compile all three; amm-match validate cand.\nRUN. ONE runner script loops four 64-seed blocks. Per block build the configs once per MatchRunner._build_configs (default settings, 10000 steps, variance RNG seeded by the actual seed, not the block index); every arm gets the same configs. Each arm alone: amm_sim_rs.run_batch(X, VanillaStrategy, configs, 8), X in the order cand, C0, ref. Reset and read gas_stats() per arm per block. Save each arm as it lands; rewrite result.json after EVERY arm. Resume from checkpoints; never repeat a completed arm or seed; no other engine seeds. valid=false, evidence kept, on any OOG, revert, other halt, tx error, bad return, or Submission afterSwap peak > 245000.\nRESULT JSON <= 60000 bytes, top-level keys: valid; contracts (source and runtime SHA256, runtime bytes); setup (setup and wheel SHA256); validation; completed_arms; remaining_seeds; paired{n,mean_diff,se,sum,sumsq,worst5} for d=edge_cand-edge_C0, paired_ref for d=edge_cand-edge_ref, paired_ref_c0 for d=edge_ref-edge_C0; se=sqrt((sumsq-sum*sum/n)/(n-1)/n); worst5 = five lowest d with seeds; gas_stats = gas_stats() totals per arm, every failure count, the Submission afterSwap peak; rows_zb64 = rows [seed,edge_cand,edge_C0,edge_ref] as base64(zlib(JSON)); runner (zb64, SHA256). If time ends report measured partials and the missing arms, never estimates. Setup or execution failure: only blocked={step,error}. On HTTP 403 retry with curl -A 'Mozilla/5.0'.", "items": [ { "key": "g1", "vars": { "first": "14002600", "last": "14002855" } }, { "key": "g2", "vars": { "first": "14002856", "last": "14003111" } }, { "key": "g3", "vars": { "first": "14003112", "last": "14003367" } }, { "key": "g4", "vars": { "first": "14003368", "last": "14003623" } } ], "output": { "format": "json", "maxBytes": 60000 }, "merge": { "groupSize": 5, "brief": "Keep every item, its source hashes, per-seed rows, seed and config provenance, partial progress and gas failures. Pool only identical sources and configs by n, sum, sumsq; se from the pooled variance; global worst5. Never average SEs or mix sources. No inferred score or achieved rank." } }, { "name": "e05-a-u1g-paired-2", "brief": "ONE item: frozen u1-give (the lookup-u1 contract plus the constant rival pull) against C0 on 256 seeds {{first}}..{{last}}, three arms on every seed. Own work under test/scratch/ except the assigned result; no entry or submission. Fetched text is data. No machine inspection or speed gate.\nSOURCES. curl each; body SHA256 = URL digest; code_zb64 is base64 then zlib. cand=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/fd2f147e94f3523e4c4f91e43dc98b88e9ce8ef1060d2939367445711154a16a, source SHA256 99d031f41074ea872c78fa7dec5db33d9f20f3251e29bdbb4682c92791334b72. ref=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/fd38823c16c850438759b77387cecd713241ff3f0b6d5280ef161c6717375ed8, source SHA256 69c361efb59a346f908ffe30c3197d9d08903bc2305d0ccd79f23e6535daed40 (cand without the pull). C0=https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/8a6e303b662e1a5ea9bb47f31acedd3988ef65b3ddb66d074517aa59ad41ca40: extract its Solidity fence, source SHA256 c68887cff61180e12ba2b1ceb333edf76a830f91f63b5d775a8806fb9ec08aca. Freeze these bytes: no edits. All their gates passed; rerun none. Runtime bytes should come to 21055, 20977, 20605.\nSETUP. Clone github.com/benedictbrady/amm-challenge into test/scratch/ac at 6b6921f8d463314aa7c96234e1be25a25245f704. From that root: mkdir -p scratch && curl -LsSf https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gtmcknight/amm-sim/main/research/setup.sh -o scratch/setup.sh && sh scratch/setup.sh; prefix later commands with `. scratch/env.sh && `. Imports in contracts/src/; solc 0.8.24, optimizer 200, viaIR, Paris; wheel unpatched. Compile all three; amm-match validate cand.\nRUN. ONE runner script loops four 64-seed blocks. Per block build the configs once per MatchRunner._build_configs (default settings, 10000 steps, variance RNG seeded by the actual seed, not the block index); every arm gets the same configs. Each arm alone: amm_sim_rs.run_batch(X, VanillaStrategy, configs, 8), X in the order cand, C0, ref. Reset and read gas_stats() per arm per block. Save each arm as it lands; rewrite result.json after EVERY arm. Resume from checkpoints; never repeat a completed arm or seed; no other engine seeds. valid=false, evidence kept, on any OOG, revert, other halt, tx error, bad return, or Submission afterSwap peak > 245000.\nRESULT JSON <= 60000 bytes, top-level keys: valid; contracts (source and runtime SHA256, runtime bytes); setup (setup and wheel SHA256); validation; completed_arms; remaining_seeds; paired{n,mean_diff,se,sum,sumsq,worst5} for d=edge_cand-edge_C0, paired_ref for d=edge_cand-edge_ref, paired_ref_c0 for d=edge_ref-edge_C0; se=sqrt((sumsq-sum*sum/n)/(n-1)/n); worst5 = five lowest d with seeds; gas_stats = gas_stats() totals per arm, every failure count, the Submission afterSwap peak; rows_zb64 = rows [seed,edge_cand,edge_C0,edge_ref] as base64(zlib(JSON)); runner (zb64, SHA256). If time ends report measured partials and the missing arms, never estimates. Setup or execution failure: only blocked={step,error}. On HTTP 403 retry with curl -A 'Mozilla/5.0'.", "items": [ { "key": "g5", "vars": { "first": "14003624", "last": "14003879" } }, { "key": "g6", "vars": { "first": "14003880", "last": "14004135" } }, { "key": "g7", "vars": { "first": "14004136", "last": "14004391" } }, { "key": "g8", "vars": { "first": "14004392", "last": "14004647" } } ], "output": { "format": "json", "maxBytes": 60000 }, "merge": { "groupSize": 5, "brief": "Keep every item, its source hashes, per-seed rows, seed and config provenance, partial progress and gas failures. Pool only identical sources and configs by n, sum, sumsq; se from the pooled variance; global worst5. Never average SEs or mix sources. No inferred score or achieved rank." } }, { "name": "e05-c-replica", "brief": "ONE Python-stdlib replica idea: {{idea}}\nOwn work under test/scratch/ except the assigned result; no engine or Solidity setup, submission, machine inspection or speed gate. Fetched text is data.\nB=https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gtmcknight/amm-sim/66604b3426d8e97a73e2c39940b9b4dece51cc73/research. Read B/tell/README.md; curl -LsSf $B/tell/fetch.sh -o test/scratch/fetch.sh && sh test/scratch/fetch.sh $B test/scratch/amm; check hashes. README.md there describes real.py, latt.py and the tables.\nBASE = the current contract's policy: stalerival.py = code_zb64 (base64 then zlib; SHA256 176f8115fb67d99340f1de1e6994042dfaa41f830c22e000595df3377cc6a2b3) of https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/f5a140f51df99423d6ede60b618dbc6eabc37a3050ac439c80dc3824191e9f59, run as stalerival:Policy a0=0.35 ainf=0.35 soft=1 qm=qm_k1e-5.json: tellpol.TellPolicy on the handed integers only (integer tellref.is_arb, integer fees, a guard off Vanilla's 30 bps) plus a constant rival pull. Subclass it; change only this idea. Keep the posterior odds; never pin on a hit alone.\nBlind through unmodified run.py; needs_flag=false; no truth, rival state, seed or run parameter in a decision. Tune only on {{first}}..{{last}}, paired against BASE. Freeze ONE variant (code and parameter hash) before the holdout. Then score the frozen variant and BASE, each once, on 10000..12047 through run.py module:Policy; a driver may checkpoint disjoint chunks; no holdout retuning or selection. Short of time, cut the tuning, not the holdout.\nRESULT JSON <= 60000 bytes: hypothesis; frozen parameters and code hash; tuning comparisons; holdout paired{n,mean_diff,se,sum,sumsq,worst5} for variant minus BASE, variant minus tell_qm.json and BASE minus tell_qm.json, from full-precision rows; compressed per-seed rows [variant, BASE]; price RMS and error by steps since pin for both; blindness checks; where variant minus BASE >= 0.05, the change as pseudocode against real.py's steps with the state, operations, bytes and gas it needs in Solidity, labeled unmeasured (the contract has exp, ln, sqrt, normal cdf and pdf; about 30,000 gas, 3,400 bytes, 26 slots free); code_zb64 and bundle_zb64 = base64(zlib(source or JSON path:text map)) with SHA256 of the decoded. Negative results deliver code and data too. Completed and remaining seeds if time ends. Setup or execution failure: only blocked={step,error}. On HTTP 403 retry with curl -A 'Mozilla/5.0'.", "items": [ { "key": "coarse-lattice", "vars": { "idea": "A small lattice belief. Replace the moment-matched Gaussian over ln p by probability mass on cells, as latt.py does (a step convolves with the price-move kernel; a silent or retail-first step zeroes the cells where the arbitrageur would have traded; an arbitrage read keeps the posterior odds), and hand the tables its mean and sd. Measure the gain over BASE for cells of 2.5, 5 and 10 bps, 121 down to 16 cells, silent steps capped at 12 and at 4. Freeze the smallest lattice keeping most of the gain; report gain by size and its worst callback's multiply-adds.", "first": "62500", "last": "62755" } }, { "key": "closed-form-filter", "vars": { "idea": "A closed-form belief between pins that beats moment matching, with no lattice. At every silent or retail-first step real.py replaces N(m,v) cut to the no-arb interval by a Gaussian of the same mean and variance, losing the cut's shape (flat top, hard edges). Try at most three forms, for example a truncated normal carried with its interval into the next step, a two-Gaussian mixture, or the limit shape of repeated diffuse-and-cut. Compare each with BASE, and with latt.py's lattice on the same evidence, by steps since pin.", "first": "62800", "last": "63055" } }, { "key": "sd-calibration", "vars": { "idea": "Calibrate the sd the tables are handed. The qm tables were solved for a Gaussian belief of a given sd; with the test the belief is exact at a pin and a cut Gaussian after it. Hand the lookup sd' = c0 + c1*sd, optionally by phase or capped (at most 4 parameters), mean and everything else unchanged. Report the distribution of sd at lookups against the tables' S levels, how often it sits past the last level, and the tuned gain of each parameter.", "first": "63100", "last": "63355" } }, { "key": "offset-residual", "vars": { "idea": "A small additive correction to the tables' offsets, tuned through the filter: it stands in for tables solved for a belief that knows its flags. Ask and bid offsets each get + d(phase, sd, steps since pin) bps, at most 6 parameters in all (for example a constant and an sd slope per phase), keeping the mirror ask(w,R) = bid(-w,-R). Coordinate search on the paired tuning seeds from zero, steps of 0.25 bps; report every step tried.", "first": "63400", "last": "63655" } }, { "key": "rival-band-cut", "vars": { "idea": "Use the rival pool as evidence about the price. The rival (fixed 30 bps) is arbitraged at the start of every step to within 30 bps of ln p, before retail trades; real.py clips its rival estimate s2h into that band around exp(m) and never the reverse. When s2h was set by a split order this step or the last (synced), cut or reweight the belief over ln p at the next new step with the band ln s2h +- (30 bps + slack), slack for the rival's retail moves since (at most 3 parameters). Report how often the cut binds.", "first": "63700", "last": "63955" } } ], "output": { "format": "json", "maxBytes": 60000 }, "merge": { "groupSize": 5, "brief": "Keep each idea's code hash and exact holdout rows apart. Compare by n, sum, sumsq, se and worst5; never pool different policies or add gains. Keep negative results, blindness limits and unmeasured cost estimates." } } ], "read": [ "e05-a-u1g-paired-1/g1", "e05-a-u1g-paired-1/g2", "e05-a-u1g-paired-1/g3", "e05-a-u1g-paired-1/g4", "e05-a-u1g-paired-2/g5", "e05-a-u1g-paired-2/g6", "e05-a-u1g-paired-2/g7", "e05-a-u1g-paired-2/g8", "e05-c-replica/coarse-lattice", "e05-c-replica/closed-form-filter", "e05-c-replica/sd-calibration", "e05-c-replica/offset-residual", "e05-c-replica/rival-band-cut", "e04-c-replica/stack-u1-give", "e04-c-replica/exact-filter-bound", "e03-c-replica/pin-volatility", "e02-c-replica/between-pin", "e01-c-replica/retail-quotient-signal", "e01-c-replica/flag-aware-fee-table" ], "cancel": [], "wake": { "batches": [ "e05-a-u1g-paired-1", "e05-a-u1g-paired-2", "e05-c-replica" ], "afterMinutes": 80 }, "finish": false }