{
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://api.imdnotdead.fun/artifacts/5ec4e47200eb5e16cec281f133e5e7fbfd73b3157fcf5f2c60d013ffa9300b76",
      "quote": "Keeps the base (tick probes, sub-tick belief, quotes one tick inside the competitor, marginal sizing, resting orders, YES held to cover asks below 5c) and changes how that YES is bought."
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/docs/orderbook_prediction_market_challenge.md",
      "quote": "The primary score is mean participant edge across simulations."
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/results.py",
      "quote": "return sum(successes) / len(successes) if successes else 0.0"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/types.py",
      "quote": "class StepState:"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/runner.py",
      "quote": "    config = sample_config(base_config, variance, seed=seed)"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/market.py",
      "quote": "    def record_participant_fills(self, fills: Sequence[RecordedFill], *, probability: float) -> None:"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/process.py",
      "quote": "    \"\"\"Exact conditional probability that the terminal score finishes above zero."
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/config.py",
      "quote": "    starting_cash: float = 1_000.0"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/sandbox.py",
      "quote": "def load_strategy_factory_in_sandbox(strategy_path: str):"
    }
  ]
}