{"assessments":[],"deployments":[],"fuzz":[],"identity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"interpretation":"Records acceptance and evidence. Neither completion nor an AI assessment establishes correctness, safety, or independent review.","jobId":"3de8d05a-e77e-4bab-880f-d628250c730f","kind":"skill:research-report","nodes":[{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"4071fa2e7173ea174d5a35a1a98a11ce0d7d84c0e9cdb85a42d78aecf17ea26b","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network"],"skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","tools":[]},"key":"research_report","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","state":"accepted"}],"objective":"ACCEPT or DECLINE this judging mandate. Read the complete SQF below. ACCEPT only if the question can be judged fairly after its deadline by independent researchers who may use different sources and methods, and DECLINE if it cannot. Also DECLINE if only one named source or data feed can settle it: that is an attestation, not a judging mandate. If you DECLINE, return a corrected SQF in the same report. Write the verdict as a line \"Verdict: ACCEPT\" or \"Verdict: DECLINE\".\n\nSQF\n§question\nWill the FOMC raise the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 28, 2026 meeting?\n§rule\nYES if the FOMC’s October 28 statement sets a target range higher than 3-3/4 to 4 percent; NO if it maintains or lowers that range; INVALID only if the FOMC does not publish a policy decision on October 28.\nresolution:resolved after the deadline by the IMD oracle panel from public, authoritative reports of the event; the panel must agree; report inability instead of guessing; INVALID only when the rule says so\n§meta\nformat-version:seer-sqf-v1\nuse-case:uc3\ndeadline-utc:2026-10-28T18:00:00Z\ndeadline-unix:1793210400\nwhy-it-matters:A rate increase can raise borrowing costs for mortgages, credit cards, and business loans.\ndiscovery-job:7b01212c-56d8-45cb-9322-0b57bb532ed8\nproposed-by:imd-seat-1940\ndiscovery-candidate:1940-1","parentJobId":null,"planHash":"025051416313bced49b691b1abbe873eaa6b4a83c7cdfede09dcb93d246fa959","previousHash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","projectId":"3de8d05a-e77e-4bab-880f-d628250c730f","publication":{"commit":null,"deliveredAt":null,"repoUrl":null},"receiptIdentity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"registry":"0xb6d0a187b050fa5bb0b87033a203f37becf4a775","research":[],"schema":"identitymd-work-v1","signals":[{"agentId":"55450","feedbackHash":"0d498f2b5cf77ac83b8b1b10dcfed2f386e65d76b01fa0bad5bb73147623945c","nodeKey":"research_report","submissionHash":"4071fa2e7173ea174d5a35a1a98a11ce0d7d84c0e9cdb85a42d78aecf17ea26b","tag1":"verification:structural","tag2":"acceptance-v2","value":1}],"site":null,"snapshotHash":"bfb33a1642ee9229e0b68799d83e402f4487694bf6d38e2a79452d6b5461b3e9","state":"completed","submissions":[{"artifacts":[{"bytes":4768,"hash":"a8667990e3fc4f646bb7f59aa3ef5416da3b29e570a5e4296db14c805c78df5c","mediaType":"text/markdown","name":"acceptance","path":"artifacts/acceptance.md"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":"7ca20f72fad0b53aa7ca8b20e5cfa83d577b0f96f5edf666bd506ab50d35a403","device":"06a310a5c144dce3","findings":[],"hash":"4071fa2e7173ea174d5a35a1a98a11ce0d7d84c0e9cdb85a42d78aecf17ea26b","nodeId":"ed7f01bd-7da7-4f53-b142-8cf7a55c700d","outcome":"completed","summary":"**Verdict: ACCEPT.** This question can be judged fairly by independent researchers after the deadline. The full report is in `artifacts/acceptance.md` (left untracked so the daemon can upload it).\n\n**Why it's judgeable:**\n- **The meeting is real.** The Fed's official 2026 calendar lists an FOMC meeting on October 27–28 ([calendar](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm)).\n- **The rule's starting range is the current one.** The September 16, 2026 statement raised the range by 1/4 point to \"3-3/4 to 4 percent\" on a 12–0 vote ([press release](https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm), [PDF](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20260916a1.pdf); also reported by [securities.io](https://www.securities.io/fomc-raises-federal-funds-target-range-to-3-3-4-to-4-percent/) and [edgeX](https://pro.edgex.exchange/en-US/news/article/fed-raises-rates-25-basis-points-unanimous-vote)). So \"raise\" in the question and \"higher than 3-3/4 to 4\" in the rule mean the same thing. I found no rate change between meetings since then.\n- **The deadline is consistent.** The Unix timestamp matches 2026-10-28 18:00 UTC, which is 2:00 p.m. EDT, the usual release time for the statement.\n- **It isn't tied to one source.** The decision is a single public number, published by the Fed itself, the H.15 release, the FRED series DFEDTARU and DFEDTARL, and the wire services. Researchers using different sources will reach the same answer.\n- **Every outcome is covered.** A hike resolves YES, a hold or cut resolves NO, and INVALID applies only if no decision is published on October 28.\n\nThe report keeps facts, inferences, uncertainty and open questions separate:\n- **Inference:** a hold looks more likely. One source quotes about 83% odds of a pause as of October 20, but that comes from a blog citing CME FedWatch ([noradarealestate](https://www.noradarealestate.com/?p=86209)), and a news report says policymakers lean against an October hike ([NST/Reuters](https://www.nst.com.my/amp/business/economy/2026/10/1545927/fed-policymakers-lean-against-october-rate-hike)). I didn't check the odds against CME directly.\n- **Minor issues, not reasons to decline:** the deadline falls on the exact minute of the release, and the rule doesn't say which time zone \"October 28\" is in. The report suggests an optional wording fix. Since the verdict is ACCEPT, no corrected SQF is needed.\n- **Open question:** the actual decision, which won't be known until the statement comes out on October 28.\n\n**Not done:** the commit of `README.md` failed because git has no author name or email set on this machine, and I'm not allowed to change `.git/`. The README (which describes the question and the review's limits) is staged but uncommitted.","treeHash":"c3af8855f75fadb24703163ad806bef849ade109","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":104191,"inputTokens":12,"model":"claude-opus-5-5","outputTokens":4990,"runtime":"claude","turns":8,"wallClockMs":74068}}],"verification":[{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"4071fa2e7173ea174d5a35a1a98a11ce0d7d84c0e9cdb85a42d78aecf17ea26b","verifiedTreeHash":"c3af8855f75fadb24703163ad806bef849ade109","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+260efc41"}]}